Sunday, March 17, 2019

Bracket Buster: New Mexico State

The Aggies won the WAC Championship last night and are up to 49th in KenPom. They are 37th in AdjustedO and 83rd in adjustedD. They are one of the best rebounding teams in the nation. They finished the year at 30-4 and lost on a neutral court to Kansas by 3.

On offense, they are 48th in effective fg %. They shoot 56.6% from 2, 9th in the nation. They’re the 8th best offensive rebounding team in the nation. They shoot less than 68% from the free throw line, so that’s a problem area. They’re 278th in pace, so they’ll try and grind down whoever they play. They put on a clinic last night in their win over Grand Canyon.

On defense, they’re 82nd in effective fg%. What they do as well as anyone is rebound misses. They’re 4th in the nation in rebounding %. Opponents only get 22% of their misses. Between the slower pace and rebounding, teams have got to value possessions against them.

What’s fascinating about them is, this is a team that spreads its minutes around quite liberally. They only have one player that averages double digits in scoring. Junior Terrell Brown averages just over 11ppg. If you go look at their statistic page, it’s remaekable at how many guys play. Also, they only have two seniors that get significant minutes. Want a flyer on a 2020 team? This might be your team. They’ll be a pain in someone’s side this week and maybe more than a game.

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