Saturday, March 16, 2019

Bid Stealers Still Alive


Mountain West:
San Diego State over Utah State
The Aggies are solidly in as an 8/9 right now.  San Diego State would steal a bid with a win

MAC
Bowling Green over Buffalo
Buffalo is currently a 6 seed.  They are 7-2 in Q1/Q2 games and project as a top 25 team in all the computer numbers

Mountain West:
Oregon over Washington
I’m actually now tracking Oregon off on the side but I think they need the auto-bid.  Some experts don’t have Washington in for sure but 10-6 against Q1/Q2, even if most of that is Q2 is enough for me.

American
Memphis over Houston or Wichita State over Cincinnati
There could be a bid stealer today or tomorrow depending on if there is one or two upsets.  Memphis was the hot upset pick but Wichita has been riding hot for the past 6 weeks

Bubble Team Who Aren’t Safe.  In Order of most likely to drop out

Belmont – pro: solid NCSOS, 4-3 against Q1/Q2. Con: Small schools always get screwed

TCU – pro: 22 games against Q1/Q2. Con: only won 9 of them

St. John’s – pro: 10-10 against Q1/Q2.; started hot  Con: Ended poorly and got crushed by Marquette.  NCSOS of 216

Ohio State – pro: Like TCU, 22 games against Q1/Q2. Con: Like TCU, only won 9 of them

Arizona State – pro: 11-6 against Q1/Q2; NCSOS of 46 Con: 6-2 against Q4

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