They're 134th in KenPom and won the league title by a game over North Dakota State. NDSU is 148th in KenPom so there isn't a huge gulf between them and South Dakota. Fort Wayne is 144th but seeded 6th after finishing 8-8 in league.
The Fightin' Otzelbergers are the 4-seed and have a really good player in Mike Daum. They'll have a chance.
The Pick: South Dakota (They'd be a scary 15-seed)