The aforementioned three all have 3 of the top 4 seeds. Richmond has the 3rd seed with Rhode Island at 4. Richmond quietly finished 13-5 in league.
Dayton is the highest KenPom team at 34. Basically, no A-10 team would be expected to get out of round one. Yikes. VCU is 48 and Rhode Island is 51. Richmond is 90. 5-seed, St. Bonaventure is 93. Truthfully, I could see any of these five winning. If someone not named Rhode Island, VCU or Dayton wins the tourney, I still don't see 4 teams as I think the Rams would be left out.
The Pick: Rhode Island