Tonight is a big night for a lot of teams. A large majority of the bubble teams are in
action. Let’s start with the breakdowns
Tennessee vs LSU – LSU is close to lock status but it’s best
to hold court at home. Currently a 9
seed.
Purdue vs Michigan State – The Spartans are probably a lock as
a 9 seed but Purdue is currently our last team in. A road win would give their resume a bit more
heft
Colorado St vs Nevada – a classic no win situation for the
Rams; a loss would be devastating. They
are a 10 right now but can easily be caught by a bunch of other teams
Boise State vs San Jose – Boise is just in front of
Purdue. If they lose to San Jose is
might be the worst team in Division 1 they don’t deserve to get a bid.
Oregon vs Oregon State – Rivalry games can be tricky,
especially on the road. Oregon sits at a
10 and a road loss won’t drop them out.
USC vs UCLA – see Oregon-Oregon State except UCLA has no
room for error. A loss will drop them
out as they are the right on the cusp of the play in game
TCU vs Oklahoma State – I have Okie St as a 10 while others
have them higher. Yes, they play in a
tough conference and have a ton of top 50 RPI wins, however, they are on a 4
game losing streak and need to right that ship now.
Cincinnati vs Tulsa – Cincy is a solid 9 but Tulsa I have as
one of my First Four Out. Lunardi and
Palm have them as an 11 but I don’t see them that safe. A win tonight probably gives them enough to
push out one of the Last Four in.
Nebraska vs Illinois – Illinois is one of the First Four out
and need to win here to stay in the conversation. I don’t think a win gets them in but a loss definitely
drops them to the Next Four Out and maybe out of conversation completely.
Old Dominion vs Marshall – ODU is the last team we are
tracking and has no room for another loss.
Miami vs Pittsburgh – a battle of two teams in our Next Four
Out group. The winner hangs around, the
loser probably needs a deep ACC Tournament run
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