Saturday, March 14, 2015

Key Notes and Numbers

CBS just had Dan Gavitt on TV and he just compared Texas and Murray State.  Was this a hint or just a ploy to get Murray State's hopes up?  The comparison of "opportunities" of top 50 wins.  The key numbers being the Racers 0-0 record vs Texas's 3-12 record.  Is it conceivable with 15 chances Murray State could have won 3?  Absolutely!

Other key numbers:

Indiana's Non-Conference Strength of Schedule = 320.  It kept SMU out last year.

Wisconsin 18-2 against the top 100.  They won the regular season title and are in the conference final.  They are a lock 1 seed in my mind right now.

Ohio State NCSOS's = 329.  It's going to cost them a seed line at least.

LSU 12-5 against the top 100.  They are not a bubble team.

Last but not least I currently have Virginia over Duke but as I poor over the numbers they are very similar.  Duke has more top 100 wins, a tougher SOS and beat them outright.  In addition, Virginia needs to be analyzed as what they are now.  With Anderson not at 100% they are probably not going to be a 1 seed.

1 comment:

Bryan Demski said...

I don't see how you can have Virginny a 1 seed over Duke if you are moving UW up. As you mentioned, Duke has the tougher SOS, the head-to-head, plus Duke also has a victory over UW. It would be more than odd to have Duke a #2 seed when they've beaten two of the #1's outright (assuming VA and UW). This, of course, not knowing all things bracketology.