Wednesday, March 9, 2016

Bids, Conference Tournaments, and Stuff!

Teams That Collected Bids Last Night:
NEC – FDU
Horizon – Green Bay
Summit – South Dakota State
WCC – Gonzaga

St. Mary’s looks like they are going to stay in the bracket as an at large due to their top 40 RPI and 6-3 record against the top 100 but we will see.  They should not feel comfortable.  Hoping to have a new bracket out before noon today.

Bids Going Out Tonight:
Patriot –Holy Cross vs Lehigh.  Holy Cross is the 9 seed and has a 13-19 record.  Yikes

Conference Tournaments Starting Tonight:
Big East
Favorite – Villanova
The Wildcats can snag a 1 seed should they win out.  Xavier has a slight chance as well.  I think Butler is a bubble team if they lose to Providence.

Big 12
Favorite – Kansas
They are the favorite to win it all and probably have a 1 seed locked up.  Oklahoma can get one if they win the conference tournament.  No bubble teams here

Mountain West
Favorite – San Diego State
It’s a 1 bid league unfortunately.  SD State’s profile isn’t that bad.  RPI = 44, NCSOS = 5, 4-7 against the top 100

Southland
Favorite – SFA
Finally another low major that gives double byes to the top seeds.  They only need to win 2 games.

Pac 12
Favorite – Utah
Oregon is the 1 seed but Utah is coming on strong.  Both are in the conversation for a 2 or 3 seed.  Oregon State and USC need to avoid losing in the opening round

A-10
Favorite – Pick one
Dayton seems to be the only safe one.  St Joe’s, VCU, and St. Bonaventure are all in the 8-10 seed range so a loss could be damaging.  I feel like committee would be itching to dump an A-10 team for another Power 5 team.  Oh, and would anybody be surprised if George Washington or Davidson got hot and won the bid themselves?

SEC
Favorite – Kentucky
ESPN would like you to believe Ben Simmons, er, I mean LSU has a chance but their RPI is 91 which is 20 points higher than the highest RPI ever given to an at-large.  Lots of actual bubble stuff going on here though.  Vandy needs to win its first game to feel comfortable.  South Carolina isn’t 100% either

Big 14
Favorite – Michigan State

Right now any of the top 6 seeds could win this thing.  Michigan needs to make a run to get into the conversation.

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