Monday, March 17, 2014

West Region

Re-seeding by KenPom

1. Arizona
2. Creighton
3. Wisconsin
4. Gonzaga
5. San Diego State
6. Oklahoma State
7. Oklahoma
8. Oregon
9. Baylor
10. Nebraska
11. BYU
12. North Dakota State

Overseeded: Wisconsin, SDSU, OU, Baylor, Oregon, BYU

There's nothing super egregious in this region. Wisky earned that 2-seed and are eerily similar to Creighton so there's no real issue there. BYU should probably be in a play-in game and definitely not a 10 seed. In this region, they'd be an 11 in my world so they're not that far off. What it shows is the relative weakness of this region overall. Baylor had a typical Baylor year. I'm not sure where they really belong. A lot of people jumped on the bandwagon whch makes me leery of them this week. I think Oklahoma had a nice season but won't be shocked if they get knocked out early and if it's by NDSU.

Underseeded: Creighton, Gonzaga, OSU, Nebraska

As for Creighton, see Wisky. We have a real good matchup on the 8-9 line between Gonzaga and Oklahoma State. Oklahoma State was seen as a legit threat to ending Kansas Big XII streak of titles but then the season happened. Gonzaga quiety put together a solid season by the numbers but underwhelmed in its schedule. A lot of people assume Arizona has to get past Oklahoma State in the round of 32. Don't assume Gonzaga is a "W" for the Cowboys. Gonzaga is 20th and OSU is 22nd so it should be a whale of a game.

- There are no teams that are in the top 10 for both offensive and defensive efficiency. Creighton is 1 in offensive efficiency and Wisconsin is 5th. A potential Sweet 16 game would be intriguing. Baylor is 7th. Oregon is 12th. On defense, Arizona is 1st and they are the only top 10 team in that regard. Gonzaga is close at 13.

Random Observations:

Arizona was flat out dominant in the Pac-12 tournament until they played UCLA. The game was tied in the final minute and UCLA is 16th in KP and on a neutral court. They have a win at UCLA on the resume. They're a legit title contender...I see a lot of chaose in this region but not at Arizona's expense...Oregon was the hottest team in the Pac-12 entering the conference tourney. Their matchup against Wisky in the round of 32 is an intriguing game...A Creighton-Wisky game would be great theater. McBuckets went wild on them on a neutral court last November. Zones give Creighton issues but Wisky will not zone...

Best Choice(s):

Arizona

No comments: