Wednesday, March 6, 2013

Arch Madness, The Valley

Starting in St. Louis tomorrow is the Missouri Valley Conference tournament, known as Arch Madness.

The Favorite(s):  Creighton & Wichita State

In 22 years of hosting the conference tournament, the top-seeded team has won the tournament only 6 times in St. Louis.  Last year, Creighton won as a 2-seed.  Creighton was the regular season champ while the Shockers finished 2nd.  They split their regular season matchups.  The Jays Doug McDermott is a likely All-American and probably a lottery pick.

Upset Minded:  Evansville, Northern Iowa & Indiana State

All of these teams need to win for any chance to get to the big madness.  Evansville enters with a 4-game winning streak.  UNI is 7-1 in their last 8 Valley games, with their only loss coming without their leading scorer, Anthony James.  All-everything big man Jake Koch is probably their best player.  I add Indiana State though they faltered badly down the stretch, going from the right side of the bubble to no chance.  Guard Jake Odum looks to spark a Sycamores run.

I'll take Wichita State

EDIT:  KenPom's MVC Log5 has Illinois State as the 3rd most likely to win the conference tournament.  Led by Jackie Carmichael, it's possible.



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