Sunday, February 7, 2010

And Now Slowly

After analyzing the games from yesterday here's how the in's and out's break down for the day:

Out
Tulsa - lost at UTEP and no longer get the autobid
Virginia - lost to Wake Forest and was only in the bracket because they were in second place in the ACC
South Carolina - was riding the Kentucky win but a 25 point loss to Tennessee will drop you quickly
Oklahoma State - good RPI but 7th in the Big 12. Will be in the last 4 out

In
UTEP - now owns the C-USA auto bid
Marquette - 6-5 in the Big East will get a bid everytime
Northeastern - the Colonial Auto-Bid pushes Old Dominion into an At-large...a very shaky at-large
Florida - 6-3 in the SEC. I really pondered this one and have the right to change it later today due to the South Florida - Notre Dame game.

I mention the SF-ND game because both teams are 5-5 and the winner of it will be 6-5 and in the bracket. Who they knock out will depend on the RPI analysis I'll do later. I usually do that on Monday's but with the Super Bowl there's only a small amount of games today and they won't change much. In addition with 2/3 of the games in don't expect alot of RPI movement. Teams can go up and down about a maximum of 10-15 points now unless they go on a huge win streak or a Texas-like dump.

The candidates to move out at this point are Cincinnati (playing Syracuse this morning), Old Dominion (low-major with a 47 RPI), Clemson, or, Florida.

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