With less than 3 weeks to Selection Sunday let's take a quick snapshot at where we are standing. Remember there are 65 teams that make the dance but 31 of them are automatic bids. That leaves 34 bids up for at-large consideration. Taking these 34 slots we can group teams into the below buckets.
Locks - locks speak for themselves
Great Bets - could go .500 the rest of the way and be safe
Good Bets - 1 loss won't hurt but 2 might put them in the bubble
Bubble In - a loss will probably shift them out for now
Bubble Out - out but a big win and/or loss from the Bubble In group and were dancing
Needs Perfection - win out and make their conference tournament title
**Note**
Teams that are winning their conference now will not be counted as they would fit into 1 of the 31 automatic bids. i.e. Duke, Gonzaga, Butler, etc
Locks (17)
Kansas State
West Virginia
Villanova
Pittsburgh
Vanderbilt
Georgetown
Ohio State
BYU
Michigan State
Temple
Tennessee
Wisconsin
Xavier
Texas A&M
Texas
Wake Forest
Baylor
Great Bets (6)
Maryland
Missouri
Clemson
Florida State
Louisville
UNLV
Good Bets (4)
Oklahoma State
Georgia Tech
Old Dominion
Rhode Island
Bubble In (7)
UAB
Illinois
Florida
San Diego State
Marquette
Virginia Tech
Connecticut
Bubble Out (12)
St. Mary's
Dayton
Mississippi State
Memphis
Wichita State
Arizona State
Cincinnati
William & Mary
Texas Tech
St. Louis
Minnesota
Charlotte
Needs Perfection (10)
VCU
Washington
Mississippi
Seton Hall
South Florida
Marshall
Louisiana Tech
New Mexico State
Portland
Notre Dame
To summarize, if you count the Locks, Great Bets, and Good Bets as in and eliminate the Needs Perfection you have 19 teams for 7 slots. Should be a great last two weeks!
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