Sunday, March 4, 2012

Daily Bubble Watch

Lots of action this weekend as the regular season wrapped up. As of 9pm tonight here is the coming and goings on the weekend.

Bracket Out:
Texas – lost at Kansas on Saturday evening. Still very alive for a bid
Arizona – absolutely terrible loss to ASU today leaves their RPI had 78. Way too high for an at-large bid
Iona – lost in the their conference semi-final. Not enough in the profile for an at-large although the RPI of 42 will at least keep them in the conversation.
Middle Tennessee State – see Iona and replace MAAC with Sun Belt and RPI of 42 with RPI of 59

Bracket In:
Northwestern – beat Iowa and needs at least 1 win in the Big Ten tournament. Two wins would be preferred
Xavier – 10-6 in the A-10 get them in as one of the last 4
Loyola-MD – the two seed in the MAAC. Its either them or Fairfield at this point
UALR – the #2 seed in the Sun Belt. I think they lose to Denver anyway

Last thoughts:
I currently have Seton Hall in as the last team but I’m going back and forth on them versus Miami. Their profiles are very similar but Miami is 8-4 in their last 12 while the Hall is 4-8. I may switch them before posting the full Bracketology tomorrow morning
The Colonial is going exactly the way it needs to go to be a 2 bid league. VCU has a better profile so as long as they don’t get embarrassed I think they’re safe. The have a top 50 RPI now and Drexel is not that far behind at 63. It would be a crime if they both didn’t get in.

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