Bracketology Breakdown

In researching last year's bracket and comparing it to this year brackets I've noticed a couple teams that are in better shape than I thought or in need of more help than I thought.  Some of the thresholds I've used are the following:

NET Ranking - Must be above 30

KenPom - Must be above 40

SoR (Strength of Record) - Must be above 60

SoS - Must be above 100

NCSoS - Must be above 300

Quad 1 Wins - Needs at least 2

Quad 4 Losses - Can't have any

Quad 3 Losses - Can't have more than 1

With those parameters in place here's who is moving around in my bracket:

Michigan State

Surprisingly hits the marks on every metric above.  Also has 8 Q1 and Q2 wins.  Will be moving from a 10 seed to a 9 seed.

Nevada

I have them as a 8 seed and they make every metric as well.  7-5 in the top 2 Quads helps as well

Indiana State

Sadly, I no longer think they have a chance.  KenPom has them at 43 and they only have 1 Q1 win.  In addition they have a Q4 loss.  I think they are out and at a minimum will be leap by bid stealers

Iowa

they have the Big 10 bounce as they are 8-13 in the first two quadrants and only 1 Q3 loss.  NET and KP are a bit high but everything else looks good.  Probably now a first 2-3 out.

Auburn

1-7 in Q1 games.  Everything else is great but that's a seed line.

Wake Forest

Speaking of only 1 Q1 win, Wake is 1-6.  Can't see the committee taking them unless they make some noise this week.

FAU

We end with a strange one.   You wouldn't think they would even be on the bubble but they are only 1-2 in Q1 games and sport a Q3 loss and a Q4 loss!  6-3 in Q2 games helps and with some of these AAC teams bouncing between Q1 games and Q2 games these number flex everyday.