Wednesday, February 14, 2018

Nevada Wolfpack

Inside the top 20 of KenPom at 19 is Nevada from the Mountain West. Coach Eric Musselman has been building towards this since he got there and this is a team that can make some noise next month.

Nevada is an efficient offensive team, 12th best in the nation. They have an effective fg% of 54.8, 35th best. This is built largely by shooting 39.6% from 3 and get 35% of their scoring from 3. They’re a high volume shooting team from 3. They’ve basically adopted an NBA style. They get to the line a lot as well and make their free throws. On top of that, they’re very stingy protecting the ball. The Wolfpack has a TO% of 14.6%, 5th best in the nation. They’re a weak rebounding team on the offensive glass but they make up for that with how efficient they are.

They’re a middling defensive team, checking in at 100 in defensive efficiency. Teams don’t shoot well from 3 against them, part luck and opponents, but worth noting as they enter March. The rest of their numbers scream average.

Brian has them on the 8/9 line. They’d be a tempting second round upset choice should they draw someone like Cincinnati or Xavier or Texas Tech in those scenarios. As we know, the Mountain West is a shell of itself but it has gotten better. Nevada also owns a win over Rhode Island who has been hovering near the top 4 seed-line.

There is a large concern for Nevada and that’s the health of their best player, Caleb Martin. Martin was thought lost for an indefinite amount of time with a lisfranc injury but was back against San Diego State this past Saturday. Without him, Nevada probably isn’t a real threat. That said, 6’7” F Jordan Caroline is a dude. The forward averages 17 and 9 a game. They also get significant contributions from junior Cody Martin (Caleb’s twin brother) and Purdue transfer, SR. Kendall Stephens.

They travel to Boise tonight and since I wrote about them, they’ll probably lose but this is a legit team. This is a team no one will want to potentially see in the round of 32. If Caleb Martin is healthy, Nevada will be capable of breaking some hearts and brackets next month. 




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