As for the games, Loyola-Chicago comes in as the regular season champion and clearly the best team in the Valley. They’re 45th in KenPom, ahead of quite a few bubble teams. They have a win at Florida and a win over Horizon contender Wright State but a bad loss to Milwaukee. At the very least, they have to make the title game to even sniff an at-large. That’s too bad but speaks larger of the conference.
The next best team in the Valley according to KenPom is Missouri State at 115 and they finished 7-11 in the league. The 2-seed is 138th, Southern Illinois. Usual contender Northern Iowa finished 7-11 in league and is 128th in KenPom. Illinois State is the 3-seed and behind all those aforementioned teams at 148th in KenPom. Basically, the league has coagulated into mediocrity. The Valley really needs Loyola to come out of St. Louis for a realistic run in March.
The Pick: Loyola
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