Friday, March 3, 2023

Conference Tourneys March 4

Two more leagues begin March festivities on Saturday. The America East and Big Sky tip-off respectively. 

America East

The American East will play all its conference tournament games on campus sites. Once again, the league champ is Vermont. This isn’t a vintage Vermont team. They’re 124th in KenPom which is not as good as some Catamount teams of the past decade. They have some stinky losses but finished the season on a 12-game winning streak.

In second place is UMass-Lowell who split the regular season matchups with Vermont. They’re 140th in KenPom. No other team is top-200. The pick is Vermont who will scare someone in a few weeks for a half or so.

Big Sky

The Big Sky tips things off from beautiful Boise on Saturday. Eastern Washington is the 1-seed who was cruising along nicely until losing their last 2. That includes a loss on the road to a bad Idaho State team and at home to Montana State. EKU is 121 in KenPom

Montana State is the 2-seed. The Bobcats are 108 in KenPom and are a statistical favorite. Montana is 155 and Weber State is 199. 

The pick is going to be Montana State. Again, a possible pest in a few weeks. EKU’s defensive numbers are pretty putrid and that gives MSU the edge.

Summit League*

I missed the Summit for March 3 tournament starters. This bad boy will be played in Sioux Falls.

Oral Roberts is The 1-seed and prohibitive favorite. They went 18-0 in league and are 61st in KenPom. South Dakota State at 159 is the only other top-200 KenPom team. They lost this past weekend by 4 at home to Oral Bob. They also lost by 39 to them earlier in the year.

The pick is Oral Bob

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