Wednesday, March 23, 2011

Sweet 16 Thursday Picks - West Region

3. UConn vs. 2. San Diego State -

Statistically speaking, these teams are pretty similiar and I suspect a close game like Brian does where each possession will be important. UConn traveling West is interesting considering the hectic schedule of the last few weeks, but like I noted earlier, UConn came out of the West in all of it's Final Four trips. Ultimately, I think this game isn't about Kemba Walker or Kawhi Leonard but who gets more out of their other players and I like the players on SDSU better, namely Billy White and Malcolm Thomas. If UConn can get significant games from Alex Oriahki and Shabazz Napier, they can certainly win this game. I suspect Kemba will have to work hard against SDSU and he'll need some help.

SDSU 62 UConn 60

5. Arizona vs 1. Duke -

We could argue Arizona is a "Team of Destiny" or a "Team of Luck." Duke has to travel and Derrick Williams is coming home to Anaheim (Sort of). But I have a feeling this one isn't close. All the numbers point to a Duke rout. That close Michigan game probably wakes them up and gets their attention and the come out flying.

Duke 80 Arizona 70

Note - Duke has an interesting bracket here. In their first game, they get Arizona who they beat in the 2002 Final, a possible matchup against Steve Fisher who they beat in the 1992 Final or a possible matchup for the 4th time against UConn who they beat in the Regional Final in 1991 and lost to in the 1999 Title game and lost to in the 2004 Final Four.

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