Bubble Analysis

After crunching some numbers this morning I am convinced this might be the softest bubble in a while. I count 16 teams in the bracket that are truly bubble teams and that doesn’t include any 6-8 seeds that could fall off with a 3-4 game losing streak. On the outside I am still tracking 20 teams which leaves 36 teams for 16 spots. Here is the bubble picture along with some notes.

Bubble In:
Stanford
George Washington – could be passed by other A10 teams soon
Xavier
ASU – has been hot lately. Will they come back down to earth
Kansas State
Colorado
SMU – one bad loss does not doom
California – are they coming back out of their funk
Minnesota
Oklahoma State – I’m not sure Smart can save them
Missouri
Georgetown – lost big to St. John’s
Tennessee – strong NCSOS, otherwise…
St. Joseph’s – hot, hot, hot
St. John’s – see St.Joe’s
BYU – win over fellow bubbler St. Mary;s


Bubble Out:
Providence – did they peak too early?
Dayton
Richmond – crawling over GW?
Southern Miss – Auto Bid or Bust?
Oregon – need any kind of W’s
West Virginia
Florida State – starts tonight against UNC
Baylor – very similar to Oregon
Boise State – probably too little too late
Clemson – Duke win, that’s it?
UTEP
Mississippi
St. Mary’s – missed chance vs BYU
Arkansas – can they ever win on road?
Nebraska – starting to look like they need to be in the conversation
Marquette – not as close as I originally thought
Wyoming
Indiana State – probably not
NC State
LSU – on their last legs