Sunday, February 19, 2012

MEEECHIGAN

With their win over Ohio last night, Michigan put itself in a position to challenge for its first Big Ten plus two title since 1986. That doesn't seem possible. 1986? Brian's liked them for awhile. KenPom has them 23rd overall and their RPI is 14. They've been unbeatable at home while they have looked lost on the road a few times, losing at Virginia and by double digits at Iowa.

They're 23rd in AdjO and 35th in AdjD. On the offensive side, they're 22nd in effective FG% and don't turn the ball over. 22nd in turnover % and 14th overall in turnovers - not bad with a Frosh PG. Overall, they're 192nd in scoring. They shoot a lot of 3 pointers, making 8.2 per game. They don't rebound misses, only 28 on offensive rebound %, 290th in the nation and they do not get to the line, shooting 15.5 pg, 340th in the nation. Their FTA/FGA % is 27.6, 337rd in the nation and about 9% lower than the national average, so when they don't hit a good amount of 3's, the offense will struggle to put the ball in the bucket.

Defensively, they rebound a little better. Their defensive rebound % is 29.7%, 69th overall. They do have a negative rebound margin. But they still are 30th in overall scoring defense. As they don't get to the line, their opponents don't either. Their 14th in fouls per game and 41st in FTA/FGA %.

The team is run by Frosh PG, Trey Burke. Tim Hardaway, Jr. has become the go-to-guy and SR. Zack Novak is the blood and guts guy. Last night, Jordan Morgan managed a double-double in the post and was beating Sullinger up and down the court. They have zero depth, going 7 deep for the most part.

I have no feel for this team whatsoever. I think they're depth is an issue and their rebounding deficiencies are a concern. Certainly capable of making the second weekend and beating just about anyone. They're well-coached and disciplined and are a program on the rise.

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