Monday, February 28, 2011

Is Notre Dame a Final Four team?

I'm watching Notre Dame tonight and I know they're a Top 10 team but I never really thought of them as a Final Four team but...

They look like they can be a Final Four team. They beat Pitt earlier in the season by grinding the Panthers down and limiting possessions and obviously, they can be very dynamic on offense, too. I might even say this is the closest a Mike Brey - Notre Dame team has looked like a Duke team.

They are 9th in AdjO for KenPom, their weakness being rebounding on offense and even that's not terrible. (Note - I guess rebound margin is the equivalent to batting average when evaluating). What you really have to like is how they pass and handle the ball. 15th in assists, 6th in assist/TO ratio and 16th in overall turnovers. Guys get good looks.

Only 61st in AdjD, they're still solid enough on defense to make a run through March. They simply don't foul, 7th in the nation. Again, the numbers all are solid other than guarding beyond the arc, 244th in the nation and making steals, 317th. The d isn't as good as the offense but I'm reminded them of controlling possessions against Pitt at Pitt and playing a neutral court B1G style game against Lucky and beating them ugly.

Finally, they have a legitimate guy that can carry them in Ben Hansbrough who can light you up behind the arc and break you down on the dribble.

I don't think picking Notre Dame, a member of the Axis of Evil (MSU & OSU) to make a DEEP run in March is much of a stretch. The one red flag is the losses have all been by double digits and all on the road but with a veteran-laden roster and plenty of good wins, they'll be ready come tourney time.

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