At this point in the year the number 1 seeds are clear. Oklahoma, North Carolina, Pittsburgh, and Connecticut. Everything after that is a mess. Michigan State is currently a 2 seed. Yes the same team that lost at home to both Penn State and Northwestern is a top 8 team at this point. The truth of the matter is outside of the previously mentioned 1 seeds there isn't much difference between the 2 seeds and the 11 seeds. Currently my two seeds are Michigan State, Louisville, Memphis, and Clemson. Are those teams that much better than my projected 11 seeds, Minnesota, Virginia Tech, Providence, and Boston College? Geez, even BC's knocked off a 1 and a 3 seed (Duke) this year.
Now, this analysis leads me to believe 2 things. One, there is a potential for a lot of upsets this year. Not the kind of George Mason or VCU upsets but more upsets based on seeds. Secondly, with there being so many "solid" middle seeded teams I believe this year only 1 number 1 seed will make the Final Four. Remember last year all 1 seeds made it to the Final Four. That isn't happening again.
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