Monday, March 10, 2008

Regular Season = Over

Well, the regular season came to an end yesterday with a couple teams making a last second push while others acted like Carson and took huge dumps in their pants. Staying in the at-large picture, unfortunately for those of us who like good basketball, was Ohio State who came back and beat Michigan State. With wins over MSU and Purdue this week they squeak back into the picture knocking out New Mexico who didn't even play yesterday. As for the other side of things the ACC continued to beat up on each other as both Maryland and Virginia Tech lost to drop them out of our bracket. The beneficiary of these latest loses appear to be the SEC as Kentucky and Mississippi leapfrog both ACC teams and jump barely into the bracket. By no means are they locks but if the season ended today I think they would be in.

Looking at the mid-majors we've had one major upset as both Bill and Mary beat VCU in the Colonial Semi-Finals to advance to the finals against George Mason. Sounds like a advantage for Bill and Mary as they are playing George 2 on 1. VCU, at this point is now OUT of the bracket as their profile suggests close but no cigar. They'll be watching the conference tournaments later this week hoping one of the teams mentioned above loses their first round game.

The only bid up for grabs yesterday went to Drake who destroyed Illinois State 79-49. Illinois State now falls into the category that UAB was in a couple days ago. Probably in but not a great last showing for the committee. I'm still going to leave them in for now as a 2nd place finish in the MVC should count for something.

As for tonight there are 4 bids up:

1. The WCC final between San Diego and Gonzaga should be interesting as if San Diego wins the WCC should get 3 bids with St. Mary's rounding out the at -large.

2. The Southern finals between Elon and Davidson. Davidson should win this game by 20 points but if not probably should get an at-large

3. The MAAC between Rider and Siena. Meh.

4. The Colonial as mentioned earlier between George Mason and Bill and Mary. George Mason again has a team that can win a game or two so let's go ahead and cheer for them.

Later today I should have time to outline the bubble and who is still not safe. At first glance I would say there are still between 7-10 bids that are not locked up.

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