Sunday, March 9, 2008

3 Bids, Bubble Updates and the Waterboy

3 bids were given out on Saturday, congrats to Winthrop, Belmont, and Austin Peay on punching their tickets although I really wanted to see UNC-Ashville make the Big Dance.

In other action there were as many big bubble wins as their were big bubble loses. On the plus side of things, Arizona State, Arkansas, Dayton, and New Mexico win while UAB (more on them in a minute) and Arizona lose. On the other side of the cutoff Syracuse, Oregon, Mississippi, and Villanova win while Rhode Island, Houston, and St. Joe's lose. Those last three probably need a minimum of a conference tournament final appearence to get a bid and may need to win it for the auto bid.

The team that lost the most ground yesterday as mentioned earlier was UAB. Prior to their game againast Memphis I had them as a Great Bet and didn't think a loss would hurt them that much. However, they got destroyed by 40+ points and that kind of statement might leave a bad taste in the commitee's mouth. At this point I moved them back out, replaced by Maryland, and the semi-final game against Houston is going to be an elimation game for both of them. Even with a win there, a blowout loss to Memphis might keep them on the outside.

Lastly, we all know the Waterboy and their mouthbreathing cohorts beat Duke last night so there's not much to talk about there. I did analyze the situation and I still believe Duke is a #2 seed, barely ahead of Georgetown. I also think a #1 seed is within reach with an ACC conference tournament title. In all that loss didn't hurt much and I can still rationalize with the best of them.

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