Friday, March 13, 2026

Miami and the Bubble

Miami OH lost yesterday and that will shrink the bubble by 1 spot.  I really believe they are safe and are probably not even in the play in game.  I hope the committee doesn't so something stupid and leave them out.  With that loss, Akron moves into the bracket slotting as a 12 seed.  This does 2 things to the current bracket.  First South Florida moves up to an 11 seed and second, San Diego State falls out.  My last 4 teams in are now:

VCU, Texas , SMU, and Missouri

VCU still has games left but the other 3 are done.

On the outside of the bubble my first four out are:

Auburn, San Diego State, New Mexico, and Oklahoma

Auburn is done but the other 3 all have games left and could get an auto-bid.  It's not unthinkable that any 3 of those teams could make their conference final and sneak in as well.  I hope Auburn's 17-16 record is too much for the committee to swallow.

Outside of those teams I think the only other bid stealers out there are Seton Hall in the Big East, and any team not named VCU or Saint Louis in the A-10.  I suppose Nevada could also get the Auto-bid in the Mountain West too.  Their resume would be bubble worthy when the NCAA expands to 76 teams, sigh 

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