Sunday, February 12, 2023

Top 10 Busts Your Brackets

Forget the bubble and 1-seeds, here are 10 teams capable of busting brackets next month.

10. Iona - The Gaels made more noise earlier in the season but are still a steady 82 in KenPom. Have a victory over A-10 contender St. Louis. Much better than St. Peter’s we’re a year ago coming out of the MAAC.

9. Furman - The Paladins are 81 in KenPom with the nation’s 34th best offense with the 12th best effective fg% on offense. Have won 8 consecutive games.

8. Bradley - The Braves have won 6th straight games and are 79th in KenPom. 49th in adjustedD with the 23rd best defensive effective fg%. Would be a pain.

7. Drake - Probably the favorite in The Valley holds a win over Mississippi State.

6. Yale - The Ivy’s best team by the metrics. They’re 76th in KenPom, about 45 spots ahead of Princeton. Balanced team. 80th in adjustedO and 76th in AdjustedD.

5. Kent State - 33rd best KenPom defense. 14th in defensive turnover %. If they get matched up with a sloppy team, they’ll have a chance. Lost by 2 at Charleston.

4. Charleston - Mid-major darling as the year turned, Pat Kelsey’s team have won 3 straight by double-digits after a hiccup at the beginning of the month.

3. Sam Houston State - Another defensive-minded of these teams. Bearkats can’t spell but can turn you over. 8th best defensive turnover %. Another matchup nightmare for a sloppy team. Also shoot 40% from 3. Put them in the Sweet 16.

2. Liberty - Though higher in KenPom than Oral Roberts, they lost to Oral Bob.

1. Oral Roberts - Paul Mills should get the Oklahoma job after Porter Moser bolts. Let’s take a look at the offensive numbers. 15th best KenPom offense, 3rd best effective fg%, 5th best turnover %, shoot 38% from 3 and 56% from 2. Rolling through the Summit League.


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