Horizon League
Our friends in the Horizon League begin their conference tournament tomorrow at campus sites and play the semi-finals and the final in Indianapolis.
Youngstown State won the league and is the top KenPom team at 122. Northern Kentucky is 174 and Cleveland State is 187. The 2-seed is Milwaukee which is 231. Wright State, who is the 6-seed is 179 in KenPom.
This tends to produce wild results in their tournament, so let’s go with Wright State who somehow played their final 4 games on the road, finishing 1-3.
Patriot League
The Patriot League begins their conference tournament tomorrow as well with all games on campus sites.
Colgate won the league going away once again, finishing 17-1. They’re 117th in KenPom. Navy who finished tied for 2nd is the only other league member with a sub-200 KenPom number at 176. All others are 250+.
If we remember, Colgate went 16-2 last year in league and earned a 14-seed and should have beaten Wisconsin in the opener. They’re the easy pick in the Patriot and a potential Cinderella.
Sun Belt
The Sun Belt is ready to start rocking Pensacola tomorrow night with the Fun Belt tournament kicking off. The Sun Belt has a positive AdjustedEM for the overall league, albeit +.022, so it’s not bad.
Southern Miss won the league after being picked by most to finish in the bottom. They’re one of 4 top-100 KenPom teams at 92. 3-seed Marshall is 79, 4-seed James Madison is 95 and 2- seed Louisiana is 95. So, yeah, 12 or 13 seed stuff but definitely capable of beating a 4 or 5.
Worth pointing out, Old Dominion closed out the season with home wins over Southern Miss and Marshall and finished 19-11 overall. KenPom doesn’t love them because of losses to 2 near sub-300 teams near mid-season.
The pick will be Marshall but this one feels like it’s wide open a d could be lots of fun for junkies.
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