Thursday, November 5, 2015

Bolder Predictions

Player of the Year:
Buddy Hield, Oklahoma

Freshman of the Year:
Ben Simmons, LSU

Overrated Teams:
Kentucky
Indiana
Iowa State

Underrated Teams:
Georgetown
Iowa
UCLA

Elite 8:
North Carolina
Kansas
Duke
Villanova
Oklahoma
Virginia
Maryland
Arizona

Final Four
Kansas over North Carolina
Duke over Villanova

National Champion:
Kansas over Duke


Bold Predictions

We are 1 week away from the season starting and it’s time for some bold, and not so bold predictions/

Player of the Year:
Perry Ellis – Kansas

Freshman of the Year:
Jaylen Brown – California

Overrated Teams:
Indiana
Arizona
Baylor

Underrated Teams:
California
Cincinnati
Vanderbilt

Elite Eight:
Duke
Villanova
Kentucky
Maryland
California
North Carolina
Kansas
Cincinnati

Final Four:
Kansas over Duke
Villanova over Kentucky

National Championship:
Kansas over Villanova


Wednesday, November 4, 2015

Conference #2 - B1G Whoops!

Seems I skipped the Big Ten.  I had it written but just not saved.  I blame my secretary.

Conference Winner : Maryland

I still can’t get the Maryland in the Big 10 thing down.  I see Maryland, Virginia, North Carolina, and Duke all in the top 5 and think Wow, the ACC is stacked. Ultimately it doesn’t matter much as Maryland would be the class of any conference.  There’s a nice blend of Upperclassmen, Jake Laymen, Super Sophs, Melo Trimble, and impact Freshman, Diamond Stone.  It’s not hard to see why this team is a lot people’s pick to not only win the Big Ten but the whole tournament as well

At-Large: Michigan State

It really doesn’t matter where you put them in the preseason rankings you know Tom Izzo will have them peaking come mid-march.  This team is the same thing.  I  have them second but can see them being a slow starter and finishing in the 3-5 spot in the Big Ten.  It won’t matter as this team will exceed expectations and probably finish in the Elite Eight

At-Large: Indiana

It pains me to put them this high but I’m going off of talent and they certainly have enough of that.  I’m exicited to see how Tom Crean ruins the teams and flames out as 4 seed to Stephen F. Austion.

At-Large: Wisconsin

To be honest it wasn’t as painful to watch Wisconsin basketball last year as Evil Bo Ryan decided that Dick Bennett “style” may not be right for Dekker, Kaminisky, and the group.  This year I can see them regressing and falling in to the bump and grind that makes me want to poke my eyes out.  Nigel Hayes is a star and his stock is sky high.  No matter what I think Ryan will have this team in the top 20 and ugly.

At-Large:  Purdue

The big news is that star freshman Caleb Swanigan is finally eligible.  His addition to the already huge Boilermakes make this team a force to deal with.  AJ Hammonds and Isaac Haas form a solid front court to go with him.  The big question again this year is point guard where they went the transfer route with Johnny Hill.  If he’s serviceable the ceiling is high.

At-Large: Michigan

Injuries decimated the Wolverines and this is a big bounce back opportunity.  As long as LeVert, Walton, and Irvin stay health there’s no doubt in my mind that John Beilein can’t coach this team to a top 25 finish

Possible At-Large:
Ohio State
Northwestern
Iowa

The "Final 3"

My heart would say Evansville, Richmond & Old Dominion but if I follow what I believe, here's how Brian's list would look according to KenPom's pre-season.

34. Texas
36. Iowa
41. NC State
42. Ohio State
44. Florida
51. Northwestern
52. Georgia
54. Marquette
58. George Washington
64. Richmond
71. Memphis
73. Evansville
90. Pepperdine
102. Old Dominion
106. UNLV 

I actually think the top 3 choices are the top 3 in this list. All 3 strike me as bubble teams anyway. I'm not so certain this isn't the year Northwestern breaks their streak, too. On this list, I see Ohio State as the most overrated.

I'll talk Marquette later

Eagle Eye Readers

For those of you who read and counted the at-large bids you would realize I only have 65 teams currently in.  I did this on purpose to let my counterpart respond with what he believes are the 3 biggest misses I had.  My current list of maybe’s are below.  If forced to choose three I would go with Ohio State, Georgia, and Old Dominion


Old Dominion
UNLV
Evansville
Pepperdine
Memphis
Richmond
Florida
Marquette
Geo Washington
Georgia
Texas
Iowa
North Carolina St
West Virginia
Ohio State
Northwestern

Conference #1 - ACC

Conference Winner:  North Carolina

It just kills me to type this but there’s no doubt they have the talent to win the ACC.  The only loss is JP Tokoto and that may actually be a plus giving some others players more playing time.  Marcus Paige is looking to have a bounce back year as last year was a bit of a disappointment.  The only solace I take is knowing they aren’t going to win the entire thing.  Roy Williams only wins championships when his teams are heads and shoulders above all other teams.  This team is good but comparable to the other top teams like Maryland, Kentucky, and Villanova.  I look forward to them falling flat again

At-Large: Duke

Yes, I know they lost 3 freshman from last year’s championship team and everybody is up in arms about 3 one and done’s but realistically only one of those players was a true start to finish one and done guy.   Winslow was better than advertised and Tyus Jones went out at his peak….and you ALWAYS TAKE THE MONEY…right Harrison twins?  Coming in to replace this team is another outstanding class of freshman to mesh with the returning upperclassman.  I still think point guard is a question mark but I love the combination of Plumlee, Jefferson, and Rice transfer Sean Obi.  Those three won’t score more than a combined 12 points per game but they will provide leadership, rebounding, and defense.  This team’s ceiling is one again a national championship.

At-Large: Virginia

Virginia loses two starters but like his Dad, Tony Bennett doesn’t need basketball players to succeed.  All he needs is a couple football players and a speed bump.  Oh,  and some old Big Ten refs that allow the putrid scheme he runs.  A great defensive team will get a high seed but eventually they will run into refs who call it tight and boom.  Upset

At-Large: Florida State

The Seminoles have a nice mix of returning stars and an incoming freshman class that should produce a top 6 seed.  Highly underrated this team has the potential to make a splash come March.  Xavier Rathan-Mayes is an all-conference player and Devin  Bookert is a solid senior leader.  All they need is some production out of there 3 7-footers and they will push Virginia for #3 in the conference

At-Large:  Notre Dame

It will be hard to replace Jerian Grant and Pat Connaughton but Demetrius Jackson is great guard and there are a lot of returning role players who should thrive with an expanded role.  Zach Auguste is a solid center and Steve Vasturia should be able to step up take on a larger scoring spot.  It’s not all doom and gloom for the Fighting Irish

At-Large:  Miami
Jim Larrinaga has a great one-two punch with Angel Rodriguez and Sheldon McClellan but after that there’s not much else.  Those two are enough to lead Miami to a bid but it’s a low ceiling come tourney time

At-Large:  Louisville

Truth be told I had them higher when I first did my write up’s but I think the Stripper Scandal is going to wear down on Pitino and his crew and this year may not be as good as first thought.

At-Large: Syracuse

Speaking of Scandal’s I present to you Jim Boeheim on the bench for the first 9 conference games.  The Orange aren’t as talented as they used to be either and lack that big star that you are accustom to.  I think they make the tournament but it’s a double digit seed for me.

Possible At-Large
North Carolina State


Tuesday, November 3, 2015

Conference #3 - Big 12

Conference Winner:  Kansas

I went back and forth on this one as I’d really like to pick Oklahoma to finally unseat the Jayhawks at the top of the Big 12 but I just can’t do it.  Last year was a disappointment for Kansas as their freshmen didn’t seem to mesh well with the upperclassmen.  Well, those freshmen are gone but Wayne Selden, Perry Ellis, and Frank Mason III all return and get another go round with a respectable freshman class.  Cheick Diallo is the best of the incoming class spurning home school St. John’s to mix it up in the Midwest.  This team is solid top to bottom and has Final Four potential

At-Large:  Oklahoma

Buddy Heild surprised some by coming back but I think it was a smart move.  The Sooners have a solid bunch of players with experience and I really think they can push Kansas for the conference title.  This is one of my preseason sleeper Final Four picks

At-Large:  Baylor

It’s a bounce back year for the Bears after being upset in the 1st round by Georgia State.  Rico Gathers is back and is an all-conference player.  A couple younger players are going to have to take a step up in minutes but this is a defense first team that is going to be able to lock down just about anybody.  Can they score enough to hang with the big boys though?

At-Large: Iowa State

Fred Hoiberg is gone but Steve Prohm steps in and the Cyclones shouldn’t miss a beat.  Monte Morris and Georges Niang are as potent as any 1-2 punch in the nation and there is quality depth with transfers becoming eligible.  Watch for Marquette’s Deonte Burton to make some noise right away.

Possible At-Large: Texas

It all depends how quickly the Longhorns adapt to Shaka’s style

Possible At-Large: West Virginia


I’m a bit more bullish on Huggy Bear’s team than most.  I think he did a good job of covering up his weaknesses with his crazy full court pressure team but he got exposed terribly by Kentucky.  I see teams adapting quicker this year and this being a bubble team