Colonial
The CAA tournament will be played in Washington D.C. Insert your own jokes. Charleston was the early season darling and finished 16-2 in league. However, it is Hofstra is the 1-seed on the strength of a head-to-head win. Charleston is 71 in KenPom and Hofstra is 91.
Only two other teams are KenPom top-200. They are Towson at 137 and UNC-Wilmington at 172. The league wants one of the top-2 win. Charleston’s 2 losses in league were by a combined 5 points. They’re the pick but if it’s Hofstra, they can win a game in March.
SoCon
The SoCon also kicks off Friday from Asheville, NC. After some years of multiple good mid-majors, the league was not nearly as good this season. Furman and Sanford shared the regular season title but Furman earned the 1-seed by virtue of a season sweep that included a decisive 14-point win at Samford this past Saturday.
Furman is 89 in KenPom. They’ve been top-100 KenPom since 2018 but have been stifled in the conference tournament. Samford is 129. UNC-Greensboro is 108th in KenPom and the 3-seed. They finished 1-game out of 1st and are the only other team with a positive AdjustedEM.
The next best team is Chattanooga at 201 KenPom. One of the top 3 should win and like the CAA, that’s what they want. The pick is Furman to breakthrough
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