Bubble Games

Lots of great action tonight as we are entering the end game.

10 seeds:

Baylor vs TCU

Indiana vs Oregon

I think Indiana is more safe than Baylor due to the metrics but it's close.  A Hoosier win at Oregon moves them up to a 9 seed

11 seeds:

VCU vs Duquesne

Georgia vs South Carolina

West Virginia vs Utah

Arkansas vs Vanderbilt

Boise St vs Air Force

5 of the 6 11 seeds are in action tonight.  VCU is the safest because they have the Auto-Bid right now but there resume is at-large worthy.  Georgia has been hot as of late with big wins.   The other 3...kind of meh. West Virginia is average but has 5 Q1 wins.  Arkansas just got throttled by South Carolina.  Boise State has 2 Q3 losses.  Arkansas and Boise drop out with a loss

First Four:

Texas at Mississippi

North Carolina vs Virginia Tech

Nebraska vs Ohio State

This seems generous for all 3 teams (4th if you count OSU.  I have them in the next group).  Texas is 16-13, Carolina is 1-10 in Q1 games, and Nebraska has 2 Q3 losses.  Those are bad numbers and each have other flaws.  Hard to pick which one jumps somebody with a win and a loss from an 11 seed team.  Guessing Nebraska

Next Four:

Villanova vs Georgetown

SMU vs Syracuse

You think the First Four were bad?  SMU is 0-5 in Q1...that's anon-no right away.  The 145 NCSOS isn't good either.  Villanova at least has 2 Q1 wins.  Those 2 Q3 losses...and that Q4 loss really holds them down.  Yuck